VarietyAwards Circuitsection is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated byVarietysenior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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Commentary (Updated July 12, 2024): The first half of the year and the Cannes Film Festival has come and gone. We now look to the future, where the fall festivals will surely drop an avalanche of awards hopefuls into the mix.
Warner Bros. brings a formidable sequel trio to the table: Denis Villeneuve’s much-anticipated “Dune Part Two,” Todd Phillips’ upcoming jukebox musical “Joker: Folie à Deux,” and Tim Burton’s “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice.” The latter could surprise many, from early murmurs suggesting “it’s an awards movie.” It could earn Michael Keaton a spot in the acting categories, a decade after his huge loss for “Birdman.”
There will be more to come.
The 97thOscarswill be held on Sunday, March 2.
All movie listings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
Best Picture
“Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker, Alex Coco, Samantha Quan
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)***
Steve McQueen, Arnon Milchan, Yariv Milchan, Eric Fellner, Tim Bevan, Michael Schaefer
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Alice Dawson, Robert Harris, Juliette Howell, Michael Jackman, Tessa Ross
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux, Valérie Schermann, Anthony Vacarello
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Lucy Fisher, David Franzoni, Michael Pruss, Ridley Scott, Douglas Wick
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion)
Joslyn Barnes, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, David Levine
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Todd Black, Denzel Washington
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Agustín Almodóvar
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Jeff Hermann
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Director
Pedro Almodóvar
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Sean Baker
“Anora” (Neon)
Steve McQueen
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
RaMell Ross
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
Ridley Scott ***
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Actor
Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Ralph Fiennes
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Joaquin Phoenix
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
Denzel Washington ***
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
John David Washington
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Actress
Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Demi Moore
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Julianne Moore
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Saoirse Ronan ***
“The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Zendaya
“Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>
Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Samuel L. Jackson ***
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Clarence Maclin
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Pedro Pascal
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Stanley Tucci
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Supporting Actress
Danielle Deadwyler
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor ***
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion)
Saoirse Ronan
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Isabella Rossellini
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Tilda Swinton
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Original Screenplay
“Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Steve McQueen
“His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
Azazel Jacobs
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Jesse Eisenberg
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Pedro Almodóvar
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Adapted Screenplay
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Peter Straughan
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
David Scarpa
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios/Orion) ***
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Chris Sanders
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Animated Feature
“Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen
“Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
Adam Elliot, Liz Kearney
“Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
Morgan Neville, Caitrin Rogers, Mimi Valdes, Pharrell Williams
“Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
Merlin Crossingham, Nick Park, Richard Beek, Claire Jennings
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Production Design
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Arthur Max, Elli Griff
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
Mark Friedberg, Karen O’Hara
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
Craig Lathrop
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Cinematography
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Yorick Le Saux
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Stéphane Fontaine
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Greig Fraser
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
John Mathieson
“Maria” (No U.S. Distribution)
Edward Lachmann
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Costume Design
“Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
Colleen Atwood
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Jacqueline Durran
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Jacqueline West
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Janty Yates
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Paul Tazewell
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Film Editing
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films) ***
Peter Sciberras
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Nick Emerson
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Juliette Welfling
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Sam Restivo, Claire Simpson
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
Nicholas Monsour
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Makeup and Hairstyling
“Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
“The Substance” (Mubi)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Sound
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Visual Effects
“Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
“Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Original Score
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Volker Bertelmann
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Harry Gregson-Williams
“Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
Thomas Newman
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
Kris Bowers
“Young Woman and the Sea” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Amelia Warner
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Original Song
“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“TBA song” from “Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“TBA song” from “Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
“TBA song” from “Six Triple Eight” (Netflix)***
“TBA song” from “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
Documentary Feature
“Daughters” (Netflix)
dir. Angela Patton, Natalie Rae
“Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
dir. Morgan Neville
“Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)
dir. Julian Brave NoiseCat, Emily Kassie
“Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story” (Warner Bros.) ***
dirs. Ian Bonhôte, Peter Ettedgui
“Will & Harper” (Netflix)
dir. Josh Greenbaum
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
International Feature
“All We Imagine is LIght” (India)
dir. Payal Kapadia
“Emilia Pérez” (France)
dir. Jacques Audiard
“Kneecap” (Ireland)
dir. Rich Peppiatt
“Pedro Páramo” (Mexico)
dir. Rodrigo Prieto ***
“Reinas” (Peru)
dir. Klaudia Reynicke-Candeloro
Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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